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TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em (1 viewing) (1) Guest
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TOPIC: TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em
#3357
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 62  
STANDINGS AFTER NFL WEEK 9:



CW:

Straight: 10-4
Season Straight: 57-25

Vs. Spread: 9-5
Season Vs. Spread: 55-53-6

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$1,660

Pick of the Week: 3-4-1
Upset Special: 5-1

Points: 10.5
Total Points: 136.2




Whiskey:

Straight: 10-4
Season Straight: 53-29

Vs. Spread: 7-7
Season Vs. Spread: 49-59-6

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$3,360

Pick of the Week: 4-4
Upset Special: 4-2

Points: 9.5
Total Points: 70.2





Derok:

Straight: 10-4
Season Straight: 55-27

Vs. Spread: 8-6
Season Vs. Spread: 55-53-6

Money: -$1,700
Money Total: -$430

Pick of the Week: 4-4
Upset Special: 6-0 *No points for Week 7

Points: -23
Total Points: 174.1
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
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#3452
whiskeydizzy (User)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 17  
Wow. Killer week for all of us!!
 
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#3608
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 62  
STANDINGS AFTER NFL WEEK 10:



CW:

Straight: 6-8
Season Straight: 63-33

Vs. Spread: 8-6
Season Vs. Spread: 63-59-6

Money: -$1,070
Money Total: -$2,730

Pick of the Week: 3-5-1
Upset Special: 5-2

Points: -10.1
Total Points: 126.1




Whiskey:

Straight: 7-7
Season Straight: 60-36

Vs. Spread: 7-7
Season Vs. Spread: 56-66-6

Money: -$1,700
Money Total: -$5,060

Pick of the Week: 4-5
Upset Special: 4-3

Points: -30
Total Points: 40.2





Derok:

Straight: 5-9
Season Straight: 60-36

Vs. Spread: 4-10
Season Vs. Spread: 59-63-6

Money: -$1,700
Money Total: -$2,130

Pick of the Week: 4-5
Upset Special: 6-1 *No points for Week 7

Points: -38
Total Points: 136.1


Wow, did I have a horrific week. We'll see how this week goes. If I keep this up, CW will take the lead.
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
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#3614
College Wolf (Admin)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 113  
DeROK wrote:

Wow, did I have a horrific week. We'll see how this week goes. If I keep this up, CW will take the lead.


That's the plan...

But if I remember correctly, I think I sucked a big one this week as well. Haven't checked my picks yet though. Probably not good.
 
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Question: "Why do you shoot so many Threes?"

Antoine Walker: "Because there are no Fours."
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#3643
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 62  
From a quick glance, we did pretty similar, but I beat you in the money. I'll have the totals up once MNF is taken care of.
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
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#3683
College Wolf (Admin)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 113  
DeROK wrote:
From a quick glance, we did pretty similar, but I beat you in the money. I'll have the totals up once MNF is taken care of.

Awesome, that's great.

We both sucked this week. Sigh. One of these weeks I may have to bust out the "opposite theory." However, I hate to do that when I'm still above .500 ATS for the season. Looks like I will go under .500 after this week though perhaps.
 
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Question: "Why do you shoot so many Threes?"

Antoine Walker: "Because there are no Fours."
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#3699
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 62  
STANDINGS AFTER NFL WEEK 11:



CW:

Straight: 13-3 (very impressive!)
Season Straight: 76-36

Vs. Spread: 4-11-1
Season Vs. Spread: 67-70-7

Money: +$400
Money Total: -$2,330

Pick of the Week: 4-5-1
Upset Special: 5-3

Points: 36
Total Points: 162.1




Whiskey:

Straight: 12-4
Season Straight: 72-40

Vs. Spread: 10-5-1
Season Vs. Spread: 66-71-7

Money: +$190
Money Total: -$4,870

Pick of the Week: 5-5
Upset Special: 5-3

Points: 42.7
Total Points: 82.9





Derok:

Straight: 11-5
Season Straight: 71-41

Vs. Spread: 7-8-1
Season Vs. Spread: 66-71-7

Money: +$1,450
Money Total: -$680

Pick of the Week: 5-5
Upset Special: 6-2 *No points for Week 7

Points: 71.5
Total Points: 207.6
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
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#3701
College Wolf (Admin)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 113  
Dangit, I got killed ATS!

I guess it wasn't as terrible of a week as I initially thought... nicely done guys!
 
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Question: "Why do you shoot so many Threes?"

Antoine Walker: "Because there are no Fours."
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#3711
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 62  
We all made money, which means we're automatically in the positive. You can never go negative with the straight or spread picks. The big question each week is whether the money picks are going erase the points you earned from your other picks or add to them.
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
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#3715
College Wolf (Admin)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 1 Year ago Howls: 113  
DeROK wrote:
We all made money, which means we're automatically in the positive. You can never go negative with the straight or spread picks. The big question each week is whether the money picks are going erase the points you earned from your other picks or add to them.


Gotcha. I couldn't remember your scoring system or what thread it was in. I gotta step my game up on those dang money picks! Not as easy as some people think...
 
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Question: "Why do you shoot so many Threes?"

Antoine Walker: "Because there are no Fours."
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#4090
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 11 Months, 3 Weeks ago Howls: 62  
STANDINGS AFTER NFL WEEK 12:



CW:

Straight: 12-4 (very impressive!)
Season Straight: 88-40

Vs. Spread: 8-8
Season Vs. Spread: 75-78-7

Money: -$1,700
Money Total: -$4,030

Pick of the Week: 4-6-1
Upset Special: 5-4

Points: -23
Total Points: 139.1




Whiskey:

Straight: 10-6
Season Straight: 82-46

Vs. Spread: 7-9
Season Vs. Spread: 73-80-7

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$5,520

Pick of the Week: 6-5
Upset Special: 5-4

Points: 7.5
Total Points: 90.4





Derok:

Straight: 12-4
Season Straight: 83-45

Vs. Spread: 6-10
Season Vs. Spread: 72-81-7

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$1,330

Pick of the Week: 5-6
Upset Special: 6-3 *No points for Week 7

Points: 4.5
Total Points: 212.1
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#4099
College Wolf (Admin)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 11 Months, 3 Weeks ago Howls: 113  
Man... I get killed everyweek because of the money. Dangit!

I guess I'll have to hang my hat on the fact that I have the best percentages for the overall straight and spread picks.
 
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Question: "Why do you shoot so many Threes?"

Antoine Walker: "Because there are no Fours."
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#4122
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 11 Months, 3 Weeks ago Howls: 62  
That you do, my friend.

The thing about playing the spreads is that you're in a 10% hole every time you lose. So to just break even playing the spreads on every game for the same amount of money, you'd have to be 81-72-7. Pretty tough to do, and even if you go, say, 86-67-7 which would be absolutely amazing, you'll only have won $1,230 after betting an enormous $16,000. That's a lot of cash to risk to win such a small amount.

That's why the only way to win some real money is to pick and chose your games and spread out the money based on the most likely teams to win. Obviously none of us are too good at that based on our results. But to me, being able to do that is the sign of a good prognosticator, as the Sports Gal can come up with a good record picking randomly.
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#4149
College Wolf (Admin)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 11 Months, 3 Weeks ago Howls: 113  
DeROK wrote:
That you do, my friend.

The thing about playing the spreads is that you're in a 10% hole every time you lose. So to just break even playing the spreads on every game for the same amount of money, you'd have to be 81-72-7. Pretty tough to do, and even if you go, say, 86-67-7 which would be absolutely amazing, you'll only have won $1,230 after betting an enormous $16,000. That's a lot of cash to risk to win such a small amount.

That's why the only way to win some real money is to pick and chose your games and spread out the money based on the most likely teams to win. Obviously none of us are too good at that based on our results. But to me, being able to do that is the sign of a good prognosticator, as the Sports Gal can come up with a good record picking randomly.


Great points. Probably a good thing that I haven't bet any actual real money on the NFL this year. I still think it's the hardest of all sports (counting college) to do well gambling on. It's just soooo hard to predict, and the majority of the teams are incredibly even in terms of talent.

I wonder if the Sports Gal really does just pick randomly... or maybe she actually likes and watches football? Do you think Simmons just makes up this stuff about her not caring and picking randomly so that it's funnier and can make jokes about it? I could see it either way. Just thinking to myself, of all the girls I know... I would say that football is collectively the most followed and/or watched sport.
 
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Question: "Why do you shoot so many Threes?"

Antoine Walker: "Because there are no Fours."
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
#4407
DeROK (Moderator)
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Re:TWB Contest Running Tally: NFL Weekly Pick Em 11 Months, 2 Weeks ago Howls: 62  
STANDINGS AFTER NFL WEEK 13:



CW:

Straight: 9-7
Season Straight: 97-47

Vs. Spread: 6-10
Season Vs. Spread: 81-88-7

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$4,680

Pick of the Week: 4-7-1
Upset Special: 6-4

Points: 3.5
Total Points: 142.6




Whiskey:

Straight: 11-4
Season Straight: 93-50*

Vs. Spread: 7-8
Season Vs. Spread: 80-88-7*

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$6,170

Pick of the Week: 7-5
Upset Special: 6-4

Points: 10.5
Total Points: 100.9

*Did not pick DAL/GB Game Week 13





Derok:

Straight: 10-6
Season Straight: 93-51

Vs. Spread: 7-9
Season Vs. Spread: 79-90-7

Money: -$650
Money Total: -$1,980

Pick of the Week: 5-7
Upset Special: 7-3*

Points: 6.5
Total Points: 218.6

*No points for Week 7
 
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\"I bet Belichick is the type of guy who peeks at your controller as you\'re selecting a play in Madden.\"

\"Belichick doesn\'t play video games -- it\'s too difficult to hold the controller while wearing his five Super Bowl rings.\"
  The administrator has disabled public write access.
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