Baltimore -7.5
Indianapolis -4.5
Minnesota +2.5
New York -3.5
Detroit +6.5
Pittsburgh -8.5
Tampa Bay -3.5
Denver -3.5
Cleveland +3.5
Cincinnati +3.5
Washington -4.5
Dallas +3.5
New Orleans +4.5

*** Cahones Pick of the Week ***

San Diego -4.5 vs Green Bay

*** Lock Pick of the Week ***

New England -15.5 vs Buffalo

*** If Pick of the Week ***

If Atlanta signs Leftwich

Atlanta +3.5

If Atlanta doesn't sign Leftwich

Carolina -3.5

It's only Tuesday, lines will change!

I know and I wasn't going to put the lines on there. I will change them if I have to. If we are going off of the Simmons lines, I will have to change them anyway.

mwithers wrote:
Fair enough, I was just curious.

College Wolf wrote:
Yeah, I just wanted to get my picks out there either way. I did so bad last week, I need to stay on top of it this week.

One would think New England would slaughter Buffalo. However, I'm pretty sure that Belichick will be breaking out his \"C-list\" material when it comes to plays and formations so as not to give anything away. I'm not so sure this will be more than a two touchdown victory.

DeROK wrote:
I agree with you, Derok. Plus, Buffalo has the disgrace of losing two weeks in a row. Don't try and tell me Lee Evans & Co will be silenced forever. Plus, the Patriots have to feel pretty darn good about themselves after last weeks convincing win. Remember, Buffalo only lost to Denver by 1 point...

But who knows...C material with Randy Moss may turn into something special!

You know how I know the Patriots have been cheating?? They won both their games this season by the same score...think about it, they must be paying off the scoreboard operators

Holy crap New England by 16. I'm with Derok and Whiskey, I don't think that will happen. However, there's no way Buffalo wins. I'm thinking something like NE 24 Buffalo 13 or something.

College Wolf wrote:
I thinkin that too, even if the patriots win by two TDs they won't cover the spread...

I had an idea regarding our weekly picks. This might make things too complicated as it will add several wrinkles, but I play three games just for fun during the NFL season.

One is picking the games straight-up to see how well I can guess who will win.

The other is picking against the spread, like we did last week.

The third is placing a fixed amount of fake money on select games to see if I'd actually be able to make money with my picks. Here's the general rules of how I do it. I give myself 25 $110 credits to be distributed amongst the various games. You can't place more than $1100 on one game, and after that game, you can't place more than $550 on any other game. So you have to spread it out over at least four contests.

When you pick correctly, you get $100 per credit, and if you lose you're out $110 per credit.

I found that each of these three games goes in increasing difficulty. First, can you simply pick the winner. Second, can you pick the margin of victory. And then third, how good are you at targeting the teams most likely to cover the spread. The last part gets really tough.

For example, I'm 25-7 picking straight-up. I'm 19-10-3 against the spread. But using the money rules, I'm down $1,080 so far. Philly and Denver killed me in Week 1, and Cincy and Seattle hurt me in Week 2. Luckily Dallas pulled through as my big $1000 game or I'd really be in the hole.

Anyway, what do you guys think about incorporating all three of those games into our weekly picks? For the straight-up, just run a list of your winners. For the spread, list the team and the spread. And then for the money game, put down the team, the line, and the number of credits. So for example...

Dallas -3.5 x 10
Seattle -2.5 x 5
Cincy -7 x 4
SF +3 x 2
New Orleans -3 x 2
Buffalo +10 x 2

We can still do the pick of the week and cahones call as well. I think it could be a all-out display of our picking ability. Are you guys up for it?

I'm up for it if everyone else is! It may take a few weeks to get used to but I'm down to try!!

Dang, I wish we would have started and incorporated the money aspect in before the season started!

Here's what I'd do (and would also be willing continuing the running totals):

- Pick against the spread and track those results
- I'm also down with keeping track of the wagering. I think maybe we should have fewer credits. Keep things in perspective a bit more. Say, 15 credits each? Spread over at least 3 games?
- Probably just stop doing pick of the week and cajones pick of the week because that gets redundant with all this.


So, if we agree on those set rules for the four of us, I'll keep track and update each week... sound good?

Yeah, if you want to eliminate the straight picks, that's fine. I keep doing them on my own because a lot of TV shows/internet columns do the picks straight and ignore the spreads. So that way I can still compare myself to those \"experts\".

Personally, just from playing the money game on my own, I've found that 25 credits is a lot better than 15. I used to just do 15 and found it was very hard to get yourself out of a hole since you lack the big $1000 bet. Plus, that lets you do a big bet plus 4-5 other teams so you really have to know your stuff.

Alright, that's cool. We can do 25 then, yeah.

So... looks like we are just waiting on Simmons new column to come out huh?

yup, we can start posting our picks tomorrow!