Getting Roy last year would have been the same situation as if the Magic had drafted Shaq and then not lucked out against all odds by getting the #1 pick again with their lone ping pong ball. He would've gotten them to the playoffs, but they never would've sniffed the Finals.
The reason the Magic got so dominant so quickly is their back-to-back good picks. Right now with Foye and Jefferson, we've got two solid players who may equal out to a \"young\" Shaq in terms of how they can help us win. Us stinking this year is the same thing as the Magic getting lucky and landing that #1 again. By adding a Derrick Rose to our Foye/Jefferson combo, now we'll be able to really make that run.
The FOye/Roy thing aside and moving to a new topic momentarily, this is not the same as the Magic. Al Jefferson has no chance of becomming Shaq. Shaq is definitely a top 5 all-time center, even perhaps the best center of all-time and I think his move to LA adequately proved that he made Penny, not the other way around. The Magic could have subbed a lot of players for Penny and that team still goes to the finals. Besides just using Shaq's career as hindsight, let's look at productivity numbers for the Magic, Scott Skiles, and Penny Hardaway pre and post Shaq.
Shaq's team went from 21 wins the season before they drafted him to 41 wins after just his rookie campaign. They made the lottery because they lost the tiebreaker to Indiana, who was also 41-41. Just to show his impact on a point guard, Scott Skiles went from 544 assists in 91-92 to 735 assists Shaq's rookie season. Conversely, Penny Hardaway's assists went from 7.1 assists in 95-96, Shaq's last Magic season, to 5.6 the following season without Shaq. Yes, they got lucky on the bounces, but Al Jefferson and Randy Foye together don't swing 20 wins in their inaugural seasons and, though a Rose/Foy/Jefferson combo should result in more wins, I dobut it will result in 20 more wins next season.
If Randy Foye can average similar stats to Penny Hardaway, or even Nick Anderson, he'll have more than satisfied being a # 6 pick. As it is, Roy is averaging those numbers now.
It's obvious there's definite Roy/Foye camps and that's just not going to change. Roy/KG probably would not have won a title for multiple reasons, several having to do with KG, but Roy/Jefferson would win more games than Foye/Jefferson. It should be noted that for the Wolves to get Rose, they're still going to have to win in the lottery, and they're probably going to need to pick #1 because all of the teams that are going to be in the lottery are going to need a point guard of Rose's calibur.
I'll tell you what won't work: Foye/draft-pick-other-than-Rose/Jefferson.