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College Wolf
Well, you are right on case with your analysis. Just with most rules in sports (or society) that seems to exist since eternity, there are some voice in soccer who demand the abolishment of the offsides rule with pretty much the same arguments you brought to the table. But for a few reasons this probably will never happen. Please decide yourself if you would consider them convincing...not everything in sports must make sense

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1. As I explained to all of you, European sports is pretty much about tradition. Hell, Europe is pretty much about tradition. And since soccer ist still a European sport - meaning the FIFA is ruled by Europeans - this won't be changed just because \"it has always been that way\".
2. Another, and more reasonable argument, but somehow also coming from the same area as the \"tradition argument\" is that soccer is basically the game it is because of the offside rule. Systems, strategies, players have been developed over decades with this rule being the dominant factor. Because of the huge field and the higher number of players, offsides affects soccer far more than it does Ice Hockey for example. By abolishing the rule, you would change the look and pace of the game essentially. And here the old rule applies: If it's not broken, why fix it? This sport is loved by billions around the globe, why changing it so drastically?
3. The game would change that much because of the huge goal, scoring is so much easier than in Ice Hockey (a comparable sport with a defended target opposed to basketball). One on one situations in soccer are resulting in goals on a far higher percentage than in hockey. Therefore positioning just one player behind the enemy defence gives you almost a sure goal once he gets the ball. So on first sight a point could be made that this would lead to more goals and therefore would be welcome. I will come to that question in a second.
Now I will just add some real personal speculation. Because the defensive team will of course try to prevent such a one on one situation, they will also leave one defender behind to cover the opposing striker. To make up for that, the first team will send a second striker downfield which will again be covered by a defender and so on...not only that this will get us back to soccer stoneage and man-to-man coverage thereby destroying the beatuy of modern soccer which are moving and clicking defensive chain systems, it will again make soccer either more statical, because players would only be running around in the other ones half court trying to break free from their defender waiting for a pass by one playmaker (thereby turning soccer into football) or either just plain silly when complete groups of players would shift form one side to another in one huge chunck as can been seen at every toddler's game which are played...without offsides. But of course, the first speculation is the more reasonable…
But the most realistic expectation is based on trends that can be observed today already. Today, with the offsides rule applied, things look mostly that way that during one team’s possession, the other one would leave at least one speedy striker as far in the opposing half as possible (mostly some yards beyond midfield) for the chance of a long pass and the hope he might outrun the opposing defender who of course watches him closely. By abolishing the offsides rule, this situation would be moved a few yards down the field and closer to the goal, taking those players out of the current possession completely, meaning less players would be actively participating in the game and it again would loose dynamic.
4. Just assumed this would work out in principle…that leads to the question \"Do you want more goals at all?\" and re-connects with the question \"Why change a game that is loved by billions?\". I guess what many people love about soccer is that really every possession and every situation counts (one argument I would make to disagree with
stopnpop that B-Ball and Soccer are similar). Every mistake by one team can lead to a goal and because those are scored not easily, one goal can be the decisive one. That makes every minute meaningful and exiting and if you dare to look away one second, you might miss it. In other sports it seems that if only the last minutes of a game really did count and everything before was just a warm up. Soccer is different because only so few goals are scored. If you want to change that, and abolishing the offside rule would change that dramatically, it would also decrease the meaning of every single goal and therefore make the whole experience of the game not more exciting, but less.
5. Maybe another thought to the “tradition idea”. Offsides in Soccer, as strange as it seems, was invented as a “gentlemen’s agreement rule” with which the teams showed each other respect as it was considered to be cheap and disrespectful to place a player behind the enemy defence only looking for the easy goal.
6. To some degree the offside rule has already been softened over the last years (leading to the exception rule of passive offsides, which is still highly disputed) and in indoor soccer it simply won’t be applied at all, making the feeling of the game much more similar to Ice Hockey and Handball than normal soccer. This might indeed suit some people more who look for a more dynamic game who just love higher scores. But like I said before, I expect that thii would not be to the benefit of the game as it is right now and would rob soccer of its specialty.
I do hope that some of this, rather unspecified thoughts might at least show you that it is not ONLY stubborn traditionalism that keeps soccer authorities clinging on a seemingly senseless rule that only restrains the players.